Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7135028de581183f12054290cdf74e18af7823427242b34ec1ae8e6fb9996d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 28c | 19,614$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,124.93 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 28c | 5,849$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 4,436$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.3 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 3,987$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.41 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 62c | 2,881$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,199$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 10c | 1,707$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 1,454$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.28 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 999$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.25 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 25c | 840.81$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 72c | 799.99$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed No | 69c | 774.23$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 26c | 755.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 642$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.14 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 450$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 450$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 72c | 450$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 438$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 74c | 387.84$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 8c | 369.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 72c | 360$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 72c | 350$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Yes | 32c | 326.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 280$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…cd35backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 72c | 190$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 189$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 27c | 172.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 15c | 171.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 72c | 170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 72c | 160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 43c | 151.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Yes | 27c | 147.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…b824backed Yes | 27c | 112$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 106$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 94.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Yes | 25c | 91.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 44c | 90.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…6575backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…4c44backed Yes | 34c | 83.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed No | 73c | 61.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.