TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9236…da58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Men's: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Lukas Kleinbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75.44
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.3%+$207.13
Australian Open Women's: Astra Sharma vs Carson Branstinebacked Sharma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$32.18
Australian Open Men's: Yosuke Watanuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Watanuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.5%+$439.39
Australian Open Women's: Alana Subasic vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Radivojevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+39.3%+$14.4
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$27.11
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$148.58
Hobart International: Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.53
Adelaide International: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.8%+$53.45
Hobart International: Olga Danilovic vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.29
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$249.33
Australian Open Men's: Oliver Crawford vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Adelaide International: Daniel Altmaier vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+133.6%+$48.84
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+132.7%+$98.08
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Glinka vs Clement Taburbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Adelaide International: Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+179.3%+$129.58
Australian Open Women's: Taylor Townsend vs Nao Hibinobacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.47
Australian Open Women's: Rebeka Masarova vs Alina Charaevabacked Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.52
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Hugo Gastonbacked Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.1%+$21.33
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+94.4%+$114.19
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3)backed Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.8%+$39.61
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$201.92
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$190.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$163.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+89%+$36.83
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$122.52
Counter-Strike: Washington vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.5%+$10.55
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+32.5%+$6.56
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+128.7%+$47.85
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.84
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.8%+$8.92
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Young TigeRES (BO3)backed Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$115.03
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.69
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+168.7%+$45.13
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$22.64
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$77.55
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+225.8%+$472.09
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+197.7%+$347.36
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+32.6%+$21.87
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.86
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+219.2%+$201.25
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.63
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$33.18
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$54.99
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$101.32
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$305.01
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$63.75
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$181.01
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.05
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.4%+$207.08
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.61
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$69.9
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.8%+$57.39
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36.99
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.15
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.2%+$19.33
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134%+$370.68
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.84
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+137.5%+$161.42
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+98.6%+$26.27
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+60.1%+$84.66
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$104.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.74
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.04
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$38.76
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.86
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.6%+$11.59
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+43.2%+$4.83
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.88
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.6%+$28.05
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+107.2%+$15
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$85.92
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.73
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.39
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$83.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+46%+$24.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.7
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on January 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on January 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.34
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+226.3%+$69.41
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$155.74
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.36
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+113.6%+$34.97
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.84
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.7%+$18.07
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.64
Will Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65.95
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.69
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$309.74
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.9%+$172.98
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66%+$22.51
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+57.5%+$51.1
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.23
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.7
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+188.8%+$94.87
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+111%+$17.62
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$154.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.42
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+300%+$68.99
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+86.8%+$63.16
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$35.53
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+57.6%+$13.3
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.21
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$834.02
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$292.81
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+107.8%+$127.82
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$285.81
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+94%+$65.4
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+115.3%+$294.34
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+121.6%+$32.9
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+82.8%+$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.