Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6954a876531d50893da96c7b839c7d7ac989305cd4419a68acd0c0c716b6f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 75c | 9,139$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.72 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 8,256$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,766.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Under | 63c | 4,125$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 37c | 3,883$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.03 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 24c | 2,505$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 36c | 1,378$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.38 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 997.01$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…83c7backed Under | 67c | 992.01$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 37c | 767.89$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 763.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.52 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 64c | 593.75$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 48c | 508.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 500$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 50c | 441.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 60c | 430.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…0842backed Under | 65c | 370.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Under | 70c | 362.5$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 57c | 357.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 6c | 303.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 58c | 269.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 63c | 245.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 40c | 222.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 215.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 207.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 63c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 66c | 185.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 35c | 169.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 7c | 157.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 156.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 153$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 138.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 63c | 127$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 65c | 106.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 25c | 103.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 42c | 91.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 33c | 70.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 37c | 64.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 55c | 63.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 37c | 60.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 64c | 59.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…1a83backed Over | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 65c | 50.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 26c | 46.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 77c | 45.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 60c | 43.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 64c | 43.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 37c | 30.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Under | 64c | 30.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Under | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 57c | 27.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 37c | 27.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 77c | 27.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 27.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…3f67backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.