TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under75c9,139$6,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,843.724566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c8,256$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,766.152,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under63c4,125$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over37c3,883$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.0314142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over24c2,505$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.691942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over36c1,378$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.3817744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over33c997.01$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…83c7backed Under67c992.01$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.151070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over37c767.89$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.771266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over36c763.32$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.5298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under64c593.75$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over48c508.33$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c500$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over50c441.91$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.121442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under60c430.35$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.212737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1e…0842backed Under65c370.15$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Under70c362.5$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over57c357.35$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.358065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Under64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under6c303.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.067412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.714553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under58c269.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.163164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under63c245.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9731441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-67.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Under40c222.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.184235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c215.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c207.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.677552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over63c199.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over66c185.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.611145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over35c169.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2711144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under7c157.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over35c156.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9614231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.13167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over40c153$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under56c151$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c138.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under63c127$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under61c120$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.210451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under65c106.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over25c103.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6313350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under42c91.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0819353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over33c70.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5712033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5719436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Over37c64.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.767753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under55c63.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.653129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Under65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over37c60.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.217848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Under64c59.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.955558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…1a83backed Over42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.055334%18 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under65c50.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Over22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over36c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over26c46.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.591723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over77c45.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under60c43.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5811529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under64c43.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9514452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.548143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c34.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2517058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over37c30.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.436552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Under64c30.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Under62c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over57c27.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.084652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over37c27.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.584042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Under77c27.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c27.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over57c26.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.544032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…3f67backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Under64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.