TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c06…dd56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT9661.5%59 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.86
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$24.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+1,750.3%+$217.56
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+646.5%+$108.26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$27.83
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+47.8%+$9.7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.5%+$14.76
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+32.6%+$8.61
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$67.1
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.35
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.7
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.2
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.4
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.4
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.15
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.05
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$23.85
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$64.07
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$11.07
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.9
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Athletic Club vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.95
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.95
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.59
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.25
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+91.5%+$12.9
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+41.5%+$8.8
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.8%+$5.51
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$7.45
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.52
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)backed OGC Nice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$13
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)backed Toulouse FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.91
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.74
AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.43
Angers SCO vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$28.35
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$24.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.48
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.35
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.03
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.76
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.56
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$16.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.