Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd228afab102f4aa599e66e9020046de26a83371f89736dc460e288f639a9dc05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 50,543$35,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,831.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 32,301$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690.33 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 11c | 7,000$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.24 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 2,614$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.65 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 2,313$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 73c | 1,536$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 73c | 1,133$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 31c | 966.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 68c | 720$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 8c | 600.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 32c | 599.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 68c | 556.78$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 31c | 544.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 431.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 329.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Under | 71c | 315.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 10c | 274$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 5c | 248.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over | 32c | 149.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…9a6fbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 72c | 117.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 32c | 82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 33c | 57.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Under | 71c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Under | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…df00backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 69c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Under | 68c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Under | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Under | 68c | 23.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…233fbacked Under | 69c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 68c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.