TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc210…8b21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.86
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+455.6%+$410
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138.77
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257%+$432.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$151.65
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+232.1%+$29.12
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+186.6%+$174.58
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$463.7
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$10.9
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+211.6%+$206.68
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+211.7%+$90.27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.24
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$125
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+57.3%+$51.23
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+82.4%+$65.94
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$169.48
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.5%+$57.27
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+65.5%+$106.58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$26.2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+121.3%+$220.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$78.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$182.5
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$350.96
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.4%+$8.17
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+27.1%+$92.85
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$291.88
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.6%+$11.76
All 20 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$5.86
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.1%+$25.79
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$37.01
Will Apple dip to $248 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Google dip to $300 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$192.08
Will Meta dip to $640 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$133.27
Will Netflix reach $105 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+148.5%+$78.59
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+117.4%+$135
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$44.72
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$168 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $325?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$94.5
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 19 above $250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$126.8
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+69.2%+$102.25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $180?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100.8%+$23.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$375.21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.86
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$20.14
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.48
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.94
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.08
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$237
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+323.3%+$972.12
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 235 and 249 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.41
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 280 and 294 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.12
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,505.79
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$72.45
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+257.1%+$121.72
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+215%+$272.08
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$83.64
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$170
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.35
5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$145.33
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.18
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+284.6%+$443.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.86
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.04
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$71.91
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$54.98
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+111.3%+$11.76
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$10.26
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+99.3%+$40.66
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.6%+$90.84
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$219
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.3%+$30.54
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$106.45
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.9%+$127.66
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+34.6%+$54.64
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$256.8
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+41.6%+$73.5
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.04
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.04
Will Draftkings Inc (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$61.96
Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66.65
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.66
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63.03
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.97
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.73
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,445.96
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$19.97
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$538
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+900%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+167.3%+$28.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+57.2%+$12.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.