NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d902714b7e37063d33f58ec5f5f447444e3046462921ff8aaef1ecb12acf7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Grizzlies, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,540,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,620,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,540,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 308,714$35,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,585.62 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 302,498$32,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,299.81 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Grizzlies | 12c | 302,222$35,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,466.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 11c | 186,090$20,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,469.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies | 11c | 90,909$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 10c | 76,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…444ebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 65,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 5c | 49,913$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.71 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 10c | 47,701$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.07 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 11c | 45,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies | 3c | 37,080$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.84 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 6c | 34,416$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.4 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…a8a0backed Grizzlies | 15c | 26,687$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 19,900$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.99 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 11c | 18,182$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Grizzlies | 5c | 18,036$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.61 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Grizzlies | 12c | 16,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 7c | 14,157$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 14,050$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Grizzlies | 11c | 13,007$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.24 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Grizzlies | 13c | 10,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.7 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 8,824$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.8 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 8,100$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies | 13c | 7,770$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 9c | 7,742$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 7c | 7,561$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.68 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Grizzlies | 16c | 7,295$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,011$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Grizzlies | 9c | 5,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Grizzlies | 6c | 4,653$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Grizzlies | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Grizzlies | 3c | 4,432$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Grizzlies | 10c | 4,324$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.52 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies | 3c | 4,167$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Grizzlies | 11c | 3,576$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,341$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.14 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 2c | 3,263$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Grizzlies | 9c | 3,240$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 3,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,089$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…e47bbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Grizzlies | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,688$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,480$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,389$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Grizzlies | 1c | 2,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 2,014$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…3f5dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,982$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,950$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,890$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,803$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…f290backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,796$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,756$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,675$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,632$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,488$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,457$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…0cc7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a6ffbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,222$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…cc35backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,170$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…90a7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,142$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,119$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,076$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,010$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Grizzlies | 7c | 1,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 999.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Grizzlies | 14c | 999.78$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefa…c212backed Grizzlies | 11c | 981.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…bd5fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 954.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Grizzlies | 4c | 916.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Grizzlies | 13c | 911.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…e141backed Grizzlies | 3c | 866.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6d…964abacked Grizzlies | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…ef78backed Grizzlies | 8c | 833.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Grizzlies | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 790.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Grizzlies | 2c | 790$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.