TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under41c62,150$25,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,653.6217031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over59c40,000$23,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,60066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over59c5,995$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.052,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under49c4,079$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.565750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d55…c35abacked Over51c2,878$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under48c2,047$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.4451753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…26f4backed Over52c1,947$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over59c1,800$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06226755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c1,774$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,064$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over51c958.77$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.381,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c742.48$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.092,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under48c733$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c664.4$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…5a12backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6a…b82dbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa748…fd3cbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc488…b228backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5551…1930backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ee…95c1backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ea…062fbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc209…3f37backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb192…ec86backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe324…8622backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4358…1be6backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10c0…0427backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d9…825abacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…7a08backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4d…c049backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61b9…2b56backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…9e41backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f6…f3ffbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd338…ed1cbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1d…c7bdbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…b781backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99ac…da47backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71bb…c95abacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e6…42ffbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c4…c6e7backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce4…ca69backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fb…9de1backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…3c9cbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe63b…c833backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…d964backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a3…faf3backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e9…f076backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf030…f805backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6953…c635backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f0…b2f5backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7148…a7e6backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x633d…c5a5backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…0e3cbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b0…530bbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3398…6056backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6574…06e6backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba3…9431backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe606…a522backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d53…4b6dbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…c522backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3a…a6c3backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…84a3backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd656…e311backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6043…7d52backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…27d2backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf5…9c93backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc055…e596backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ee…2024backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6158…b4d2backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…17b3backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e37…aeafbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1057…62b5backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x627f…586ebacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0e…5507backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe983…3ef7backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d2…a4bcbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef38…0a55backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadff…34b6backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a5…2c47backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…78ebbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7a…2943backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…5ea1backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec41…e721backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf826…5a51backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48c2…daf8backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce2…0cfbbacked Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7747…a0c5backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c01…5a28backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e4…cd05backed Under51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6da…8894backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x834c…b17ebacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fb…aed6backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d06…124dbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb9…2a6ebacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb141…aa09backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6766…ee32backed Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a4…950cbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf338…0fddbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc8…4ddbbacked Over49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.