NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecd88fcaf425ea98227e52a05a9bfd41ad59b6831d495db9fa07ba1b1c7752d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 100,021$56,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,009.65 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 44c | 67,017$29,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,487.67 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 44c | 13,973$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 44c | 10,090$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.42 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 55c | 9,999$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 44c | 9,763$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 7,866$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Thunder | 48c | 5,426$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.48 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 4,438$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Thunder | 45c | 4,011$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 3,337$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.17 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…4666backed Thunder | 49c | 3,076$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Thunder | 44c | 1,130$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 999.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 41c | 993.36$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Thunder | 46c | 834.37$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.38 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 43c | 570.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 44c | 400.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 398.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 44c | 382.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Grizzlies | 54c | 379.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Grizzlies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Thunder | 45c | 302.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 55c | 296.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 46c | 279$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Thunder | 45c | 255.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Grizzlies | 56c | 246.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…dc0fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Thunder | 44c | 214.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Grizzlies | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Grizzlies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 182$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Thunder | 49c | 128.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…746ebacked Thunder | 50c | 111$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Grizzlies | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Grizzlies | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Grizzlies | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…0918backed Grizzlies | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Thunder | 50c | 71.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Grizzlies | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 48c | 66.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Grizzlies | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Grizzlies | 69c | 46.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Thunder | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 45c | 41.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Grizzlies | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Grizzlies | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Thunder | 44c | 38.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Thunder | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Thunder | 44c | 36.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Thunder | 47c | 35.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Thunder | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Grizzlies | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Grizzlies | 56c | 26.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Thunder | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…13b7backed Thunder | 46c | 25.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Grizzlies | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…0107backed Grizzlies | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Grizzlies | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Grizzlies vs. ThunderThunder won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.