TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a20…af22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST8943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.5
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$43.2
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.