TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa75d…1246backed Over51c16,500$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4151637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48a9…cd76backed Under49c16,500$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4153265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Under49c16,500$8,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4152356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Over51c16,500$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4151942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under49c16,300$7,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3132665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over51c16,300$8,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3132263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Under51c5,201$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.714037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over51c5,000$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c2,284$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under54c1,378$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under51c962.37$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Over59c960.62$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5695653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Over51c950$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under49c950$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under59c850.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1422035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over42c840.89$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.643,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under42c715$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.052,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c605.26$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17628751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under43c316.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c284$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.682,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c225.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c212.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.182,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10436854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Over52c192.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over58c172.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031954.5%174 W · 145 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8034451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c150.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.571,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over47c130.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under58c119.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.141,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…8defbacked Over48c110.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23129%9 W · 22 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf57…7b2fbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over38c105.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Under49c101.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.75740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de7…4720backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under45c70.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3073445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3071747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb534…2eb8backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Under77c49.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.512766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over46c43.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c42.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.091,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under45c40.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2033147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over53c39.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over47c39.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3638347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c35.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.432,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over47c33.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Over51c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over47c32.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.298347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d7…2eaebacked Over40c32.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…6c7ebacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over44c30.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1530616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…c817backed Over59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.77065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874b…5bdfbacked Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over47c22.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over47c22.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.