NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d73541a6d5bc4e2427697657a74cbf4de30b635833b30b59b28adb91d16157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Nets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Nets | 40c | 77,363$31,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,092.71 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 58c | 38,162$22,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,903.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 60c | 20,000$11,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,075 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Wizards | 60c | 18,750$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Nets | 49c | 12,049$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 62c | 11,232$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 60c | 8,800$5,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 55c | 5,746$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Wizards | 59c | 5,557$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked Wizards | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Wizards | 61c | 2,721$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.42 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nets | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 60c | 2,303$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Nets | 43c | 1,503$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nets | 14c | 1,503$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Nets | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nets | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nets | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nets | 9c | 1,166$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Wizards | 59c | 973$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.93 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nets | 28c | 840.7$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 48c | 815$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Wizards | 56c | 800$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 65c | 714$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Wizards | 60c | 577.74$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wizards | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets | 44c | 375$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Wizards | 60c | 317.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Wizards | 60c | 310$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nets | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Wizards | 62c | 278.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wizards | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Nets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 51c | 241.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nets | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Wizards | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Wizards | 60c | 148.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 41c | 142.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Wizards | 51c | 107.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Wizards | 62c | 100.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wizards | 77c | 83.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Wizards | 60c | 81.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Wizards | 51c | 75.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Nets | 45c | 72.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Wizards | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Wizards | 52c | 57.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 46c | 56.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Wizards | 59c | 54.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Wizards | 60c | 54.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nets | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Wizards | 60c | 49.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Wizards | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Wizards | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…0eeabacked Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 59c | 37.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 44c | 35.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Nets | 42c | 34.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…9914backed Nets | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Wizards | 64c | 31.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Wizards | 62c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nets | 49c | 29.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Wizards | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wizards | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ee…9cf3backed Nets | 50c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Wizards | 62c | 25.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…8764backed Nets | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…2eaebacked Wizards | 62c | 20.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wizards | 52c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Wizards | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nets (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nets (-0.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Wizards won
- Nets vs. WizardsWizards won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Nets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.