TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x070b…9914

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+346.4%+$38.8
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+260.6%+$49.13
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.48
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+239%+$31.02
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+288.9%+$52
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+632.9%+$77.72
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.26
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+408.5%+$43.38
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.24
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+278.3%+$33.84
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.2%+$14.03
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.42
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+146%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+219.5%+$27.48
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+269.4%+$42.3
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$27.28
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$27.28
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+223.7%+$40.08
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.8%+$16.62
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+67.4%+$9.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+266.9%+$80.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+158.6%+$36.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Akron Zips vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+60.4%+$6.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.