NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18be41b665e6073b9b91e0b69ebc65143001b317dcc6a818a6daa9c78ca6abad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pacers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $823,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $909,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 70c | 66,371$46,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,178.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Magic | 69c | 48,449$33,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,020.23 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pacers | 31c | 48,306$14,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,911.81 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 20c | 29,487$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.07 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 8c | 19,615$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.99 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 69c | 15,615$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.84 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Pacers | 2c | 15,520$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.91 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Magic | 69c | 15,211$10,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.4 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…444ebacked Pacers | 31c | 15,120$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Pacers | 31c | 13,000$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 78c | 10,865$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Pacers | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Magic | 69c | 10,000$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 18c | 9,983$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 72c | 9,651$6,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Pacers | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers | 11c | 9,290$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.9 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Magic | 69c | 8,556$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.37 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Pacers | 30c | 8,555$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.5 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 30c | 8,226$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.15 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 22c | 6,605$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.94 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 29c | 6,234$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 30c | 6,180$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.05 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 28c | 6,007$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.06 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Pacers | 32c | 6,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Magic | 69c | 6,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 30c | 5,392$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.65 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Pacers | 17c | 5,366$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.11 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers | 34c | 5,288$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.92 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Pacers | 23c | 5,250$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.48 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers | 12c | 4,869$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.55 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Pacers | 15c | 4,623$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 69c | 4,500$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Pacers | 17c | 4,449$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pacers | 22c | 4,302$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.04 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Pacers | 30c | 4,118$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.16 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pacers | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Pacers | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Pacers | 14c | 3,978$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.63 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 29c | 3,464$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Pacers | 15c | 3,323$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Magic | 74c | 3,275$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.21 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 10c | 3,227$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 30c | 3,157$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Pacers | 27c | 3,069$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.6 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 63c | 3,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Magic | 70c | 2,900$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 31c | 2,862$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.09 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 71c | 2,800$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Pacers | 30c | 2,714$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.17 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Pacers | 30c | 2,705$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 76c | 2,688$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…3bd9backed Pacers | 18c | 2,611$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…517cbacked Pacers | 13c | 2,590$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Pacers | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Magic | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 71c | 2,461$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.68 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 31c | 2,448$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers | 2c | 2,350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Magic | 53c | 2,187$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.54 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers | 29c | 2,050$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.74 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pacers | 13c | 2,031$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.03 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pacers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…84e1backed Magic | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Magic | 76c | 1,963$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pacers | 24c | 1,862$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…964abacked Magic | 69c | 1,793$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.87 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Pacers | 18c | 1,673$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pacers | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Pacers | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 28c | 1,557$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 22c | 1,536$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 19c | 1,503$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Magic | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Magic | 69c | 1,323$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 21c | 1,314$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…467dbacked Pacers | 42c | 1,300$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pacers | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Pacers | 38c | 1,300$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Magic | 70c | 1,260$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.13 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Magic | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pacers | 30c | 1,199$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…3c17backed Magic | 70c | 1,198$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 58c | 1,174$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.18 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 69c | 1,158$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Pacers | 32c | 1,139$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 31c | 1,119$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 35c | 1,094$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Pacers | 36c | 1,050$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Pacers | 19c | 1,042$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Pacers | 30c | 1,011$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…2452backed Pacers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Magic | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Pacers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.