NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39320433e53e066d7fe6a11bb1912e652dbbaafc2403ad85033e656d3627a36a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 52c | 9,673$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.92 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers | 50c | 8,918$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.68 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Magic | 51c | 7,513$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.75 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 50c | 6,941$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 50c | 4,247$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Magic | 50c | 4,182$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 50c | 2,801$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pacers | 49c | 2,093$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.35 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.88 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,943$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Pacers | 50c | 1,911$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Pacers | 49c | 1,549$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.96 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pacers | 49c | 1,032$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pacers | 57c | 878.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 49c | 682.9$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Pacers | 49c | 612.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Magic | 50c | 609.2$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Pacers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 43c | 511$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 49c | 509.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pacers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Magic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Pacers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Magic | 57c | 264.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Magic | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…f3dbbacked Pacers | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Magic | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Magic | 51c | 247.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 44c | 219.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Pacers | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…d36fbacked Magic | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Magic | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…e0efbacked Pacers | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…de9cbacked Magic | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8298backed Pacers | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Magic | 50c | 197.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…6e5ebacked Magic | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…7212backed Pacers | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…3a31backed Magic | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…6b70backed Pacers | 51c | 182$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pacers | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 46c | 145.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Magic | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Pacers | 52c | 115.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Magic | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pacers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Pacers | 53c | 93.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pacers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Pacers | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pacers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Magic | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Magic | 50c | 67.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Magic | 51c | 61.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Pacers | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…4252backed Magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Pacers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Magic | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Pacers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Magic | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Pacers | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Pacers | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Pacers | 50c | 40.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…7676backed Magic | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pacers | 49c | 37.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Pacers | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed Magic | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Pacers | 48c | 30.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Magic | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…6c7ebacked Magic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Pacers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Magic | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Magic | 74c | 29.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Magic | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 50c | 27.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Pacers | 47c | 26.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Pacers vs. MagicMagic won
- Pacers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.