TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8cbb…acb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
945
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT89050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 890 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,120
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$559.52
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$913.49
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$477.65
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.67
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,455
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.98
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$513
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100.7%+$602.28
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+94.3%+$849.15
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.19
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+67.3%+$321.82
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$45.88
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.7%+$150.48
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,286.59
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$145.09
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$201.46
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+97.8%+$98.89
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$335.87
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$199.45
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$342
Showing 25 of 890 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,642.97
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,806.28
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,080
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,299.99
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$3,399.96
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,060
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.3
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$910
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+2,592.3%+$6,739.98
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$975
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,599.97
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$5,394
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,400
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,900
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,460
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,409.24
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$3,567
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,767.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35,455Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+67.3%+$23,857.69
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,841.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+109.9%+$2,405.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$3,505.89
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.4%+$203
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217.99
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39%+$1,767.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17,689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+189.4%+$33,511
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$7,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$7,669.89
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+79.4%+$8.85
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12,009Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+50.2%+$6,028.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,489Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,042.03
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15,286.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,860.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$308.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.