Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f52f7f41be0a90e74956b1d419f8d7af069ed65df208ecba076d7219ea181f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 16,590$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 7,508$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.02 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 21c | 7,312$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.42 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 4,543$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed No | 77c | 4,531$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 3,865$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 78c | 3,300$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 3,203$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 3,185$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.45 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 77c | 2,640$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.11 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 79c | 2,391$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.14 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,249$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed No | 77c | 2,200$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 56c | 2,040$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 50c | 1,663$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.17 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 71c | 1,549$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.48 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 34c | 1,398$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,383$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 1,315$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.79 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,270$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,231$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,126$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 57c | 999.33$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 56c | 892.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 24c | 840.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 78c | 794.29$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 12c | 771.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 689$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 22c | 650$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 40c | 634.68$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 16c | 628$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 77c | 623.38$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 11c | 621.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1f24backed Yes | 16c | 620.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 615.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.18 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 16c | 575.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 568.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 58c | 564.96$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 33c | 540.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 33c | 538.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…f7cfbacked Yes | 14c | 520$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 500.01$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 496.51$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 11c | 473.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 6c | 470.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 62c | 422.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 54c | 323$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 54c | 308.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…dd3ebacked Yes | 8c | 301.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked No | 52c | 283.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…2faabacked Yes | 16c | 275$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 21c | 257.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 78c | 256.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 78c | 252.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 22c | 246.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Yes | 61c | 237.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…2381backed Yes | 47c | 236.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 12c | 232.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fd…4e90backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…21f9backed Yes | 49c | 224.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 12c | 209.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 208$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…b42ebacked Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.