TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6e2…bd11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6439.1%25 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$330.69
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.49
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.76
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.64
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.81
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.67
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+568.7%+$716.54
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.94
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$172.34
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.2
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Senegal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$259.42
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$133.33
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
DR Congo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$565.05
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+370.7%+$192.95
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$104.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.89
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$204.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.06
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$101.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$65.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300%+$660
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+316.7%+$221.69
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+39.8%+$83.57
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+150.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+401%+$401.04
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$232
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.