Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f1ca71eb276cf3eb7f06b489515ef2fd9b4147a8463a190feefad37b77a30c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,600,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,604,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,600,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 49c | 725,828$358,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358,814.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 53c | 400,000$210,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,750 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 45c | 346,311$157,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,329.62 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 295,745$147,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,801.29 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 52c | 192,842$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,842.08 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 53c | 124,403$65,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,469.24 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 47c | 51,380$24,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,148.38 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 42,509$19,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,233.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 34,865$19,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,557.28 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 22,500$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 21,573$10,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,354.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 19,111$9,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.5 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 18,320$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 15,812$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 52c | 15,320$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.78 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 15,049$6,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.88 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 10,454$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 10,201$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.36 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 52c | 9,955$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 6,040$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.07 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 5,869$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.61 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 54c | 5,249$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 52c | 4,999$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Under | 56c | 4,697$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 4,237$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 51c | 4,052$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.57 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 55c | 2,700$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.54 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 72c | 2,458$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.17 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 2,351$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 2,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 1,726$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 1,532$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 69c | 1,439$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.17 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 50c | 1,155$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.45 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 1,100$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 53c | 1,087$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 55c | 1,031$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 51c | 1,006$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under | 71c | 980.59$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Under | 55c | 923.38$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 55c | 749.09$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 659.71$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.88 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 55c | 636$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 58c | 615$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 39c | 564.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 523$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 50c | 519.44$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Over | 9c | 513.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 49c | 512$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…1d63backed Over | 51c | 510.41$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Under | 57c | 473.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 79c | 467.16$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 50c | 458.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 54c | 457.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 53c | 431$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 357.64$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 51c | 333.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…10b8backed Under | 70c | 299.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…eff8backed Under | 63c | 295.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 292$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Under | 51c | 284.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Over | 49c | 279.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 22c | 266.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under | 68c | 260.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8e6dbacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.