Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de5f30bfa9ddfea5d99e3a7e478591e9aa38ad69f6f773d0f540d8c764b9518

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Chelsea FCof Manchester City FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,314 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Chelsea FC	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,699.97	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Manchester City FC	43c	8,802$3,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,784.89	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chelsea FC	57c	8,802$5,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,784.89	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Manchester City FC	44c	6,836$3,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,007.96	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Manchester City FC	48c	5,237$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,502.49	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Manchester City FC	41c	5,000$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.56	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Chelsea FC	58c	4,684$2,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,969.99	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Chelsea FC	55c	4,555$2,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.97	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Manchester City FC	40c	4,500$1,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,813	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC	57c	4,407$2,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.05	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester City FC	37c	3,368$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.02	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Manchester City FC	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Chelsea FC	61c	2,574$1,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.21	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Chelsea FC	61c	2,267$1,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.21	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Chelsea FC	61c	2,260$1,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.58	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Chelsea FC	64c	2,229$1,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.41	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Chelsea FC	51c	1,621$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.73	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Manchester City FC	60c	1,526$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.9	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Chelsea FC	66c	1,494$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.94	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Manchester City FC	42c	1,170$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.4	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Chelsea FC	58c	1,161$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.55	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Manchester City FC	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.98	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Chelsea FC	57c	999.99$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC	47c	975.18$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.81	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7463…5850backed Manchester City FC	58c	802.26$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chelsea FC	45c	799.03$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.08	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Manchester City FC	50c	792.16$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Manchester City FC	44c	784.09$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Manchester City FC	40c	747.02$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Manchester City FC	43c	698.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Manchester City FC	44c	697.73$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307	89	27%24 W · 65 L	-11.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Manchester City FC	59c	622.25$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Chelsea FC	60c	616$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.4	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Manchester City FC	41c	609.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Manchester City FC	37c	600$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Manchester City FC	43c	599.99$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.99	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Chelsea FC	63c	557.19$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.85	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Chelsea FC	58c	542.49$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.49	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Chelsea FC	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Manchester City FC	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Chelsea FC	61c	467$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.21	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b31…c67fbacked Manchester City FC	44c	455.11$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Manchester City FC	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Manchester City FC	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Manchester City FC	44c	375.34$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.15	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Chelsea FC	60c	357.38$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.18	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester City FC	57c	350$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Manchester City FC	39c	314.97$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.84	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Manchester City FC	43c	313.06$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.62	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Chelsea FC	56c	268.35$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.54	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed Chelsea FC	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…6b63backed Chelsea FC	71c	249.3$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.3	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Manchester City FC	41c	244.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Manchester City FC	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Manchester City FC	39c	241.47$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.36	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC	44c	235.59$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.66	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Manchester City FC	37c	233.36$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.34	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410a…0060backed Manchester City FC	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b2…7067backed Manchester City FC	44c	224.86$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester City FC	39c	218.2$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.1	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Manchester City FC	49c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.61	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Chelsea FC	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cd5…b24abacked Manchester City FC	44c	189.2$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+5.4wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Manchester City FC	45c	180.38$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Chelsea FC	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Manchester City FC	58c	172$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Manchester City FC	44c	170.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Manchester City FC	52c	160$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.4	170	17.6%30 W · 140 L	-27.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Chelsea FC	63c	159.48$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.01	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Chelsea FC	57c	157.89$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.89	38	73.7%28 W · 10 L	+6.5wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8861…e19fbacked Chelsea FC	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Manchester City FC	43c	145.33$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.49	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Manchester City FC	44c	138.61$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.99	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Manchester City FC	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…97ffbacked Manchester City FC	41c	132.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Manchester City FC	44c	130$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	191	28.8%55 W · 136 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Manchester City FC	37c	129.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Manchester City FC	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Chelsea FC	63c	127.51$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.51	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Manchester City FC	41c	121.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Chelsea FC	71c	120.36$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Chelsea FC	63c	119.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.4	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28f7…614cbacked Manchester City FC	43c	118.86$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Manchester City FC	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Manchester City FC	43c	115$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.45	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Manchester City FC	43c	104.75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Chelsea FC	56c	104.05$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.78	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2844…5aa1backed Chelsea FC	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Manchester City FC	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+7.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Manchester City FC	37c	92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Manchester City FC	40c	91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…517bbacked Manchester City FC	44c	86.36$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Manchester City FC	41c	85.37$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	327	37.6%123 W · 204 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef8…48aabacked Manchester City FC	54c	83.48$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Manchester City FC	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Manchester City FC	37c	82.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Manchester City FC	51c	78.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Chelsea FC	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe981…1564backed Chelsea FC	64c	77.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Manchester City FC	42c	77.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event