Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0e8e33ed0c34d79ca6dbe2d23e654e8464b7f41780d88bafc729407f9db2c4

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,759 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5873…f69abacked Over	39c	8,000$3,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,130	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	6,940$3,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,628.13	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over	55c	6,000$3,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,305.36	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	28c	4,603$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.44	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over	72c	2,800$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Under	59c	2,000$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.28	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	57c	1,752$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over	3c	1,744$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+12.1wins	+0.16per pick	13cpaid	+125%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	32c	1,500$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.99	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	72c	1,452$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.71	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	49c	1,396$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.47	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over	55c	1,383$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.7	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Under	55c	1,364$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.64	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under	43c	1,163$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.79	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	18c	1,121$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.15	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	28c	1,120$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.2	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under	31c	900.17$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.4	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	72c	869.74$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.21	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over	50c	824.9$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.45	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under	29c	689.66$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.66	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over	46c	610.89$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.01	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	71c	589$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.21	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	34c	538.27$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.64	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Under	42c	477.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.53	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over	68c	450$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	72c	416.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over	72c	416.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	76.9%20 W · 6 L	+5.8wins	+0.22per pick	55cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over	43c	400$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	50c	394.92$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.46	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over	66c	378.79$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over	48c	355.92$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.12	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	44c	341.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Over	3c	333.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	30c	331.62$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.43	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	29c	250$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.5	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Over	73c	250$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	239.58$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.15	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Under	42c	228.57$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.57	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	68c	202.94$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	72c	200$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	48c	189.65$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.03	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a11…4b2abacked Over	62c	176.52$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.32	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over	51c	165.77$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.9	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Over	47c	158.47$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.48	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Under	64c	157.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.03	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423a…c7debacked Over	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over	57c	150.88$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb29c…8e6dbacked Under	49c	149.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb539…7c32backed Over	71c	143.57$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Over	44c	139.05$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	58c	138.65$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	51c	120.61$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.7	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	67c	113.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cb…e5e1backed Over	73c	113.03$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over	56c	110$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.14	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x145d…8a74backed Over	65c	109.88$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.42	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Under	34c	106.59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.57	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	70c	104.38$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	52c	101.92$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.92	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under	31c	99.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	255	60%153 W · 102 L	+18.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	49c	93.59$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.88	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under	32c	92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.22	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Under	35c	88.49$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.52	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under	73c	78.45$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.18	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Under	29c	76.92$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.61	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Over	60c	76.85$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over	65c	75.08$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Under	40c	69.97$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Under	37c	67.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over	64c	67.27$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fa…c0bebacked Under	44c	66.34$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Under	30c	63.23$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.26	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Under	34c	59.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.41	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Under	54c	58.65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.18	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.7wins	+0.27per pick	49cpaid	+97.1%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	28c	57.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.12	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over	71c	56.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Over	72c	54.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.46	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	51c	52.81$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.77	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	30c	52.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under	29c	49.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2723…d384backed Under	42c	48.95$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over	72c	48.61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under	29c	47.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.79	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	38c	45.69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.26	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	30c	44.8$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.36	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over	64c	43.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…c7aabacked Over	45c	42.62$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event