TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2723…d384

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.21
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$11.2
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.97
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$24.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$16.03
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$29.92
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.82
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.5
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$9.59
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$32.48
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.89
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.84
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.08
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$97.93
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$29.98
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set 2 Winner: Keys vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$13.6
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
Set 4 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Wimbledon WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.34
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.03
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.45
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$25.45
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.62
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.