TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,660,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,631,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,660,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9854…6bf2backed Over47c491,001$230,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230,715.1917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c350,592$161,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,250.8377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over49c328,973$161,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,156.9215249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Over52c178,965$93,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,379.425523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over49c170,000$83,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,299.951250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c141,526$66,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,959.882,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over49c137,364$67,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,308.244235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over50c117,945$58,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,972.274148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under55c99,789$55,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,437.7964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c95,922$47,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,170.1416331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over61c90,479$55,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,192.4615552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under51c71,245$36,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,910.0517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c69,915$35,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,537.293237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c59,479$28,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,284.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under51c56,995$29,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,927.557851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over37c55,000$20,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,286.9317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c54,418$27,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,873.983943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Under75c53,629$40,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,496.138258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under51c50,988$26,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,984.128349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under50c48,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.9932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,000.1517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over0c35,773$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9847546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under51c35,736$18,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,509.5422450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c34,520$11,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,601.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over50c33,878$16,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,898.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c33,333$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,333.3310555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under52c30,000$15,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,5004040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c29,311$15,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,636.974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c28,568$14,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,998.356947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c27,500$13,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,874.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Over49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,2503237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under52c22,391$11,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,662.5713742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c22,000$10,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,98059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over48c21,307$10,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,184.6139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under50c20,752$10,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,272.4822846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under50c20,715$10,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,384.817653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b68…1502backed Over49c20,282$9,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,937.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under50c19,174$9,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,586.8920044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under50c18,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0002850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over32c17,886$5,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.9649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over50c17,200$8,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,612.823321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under51c16,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,899.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under51c15,833$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,758.1824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Under51c15,522$7,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,606.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c14,222$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.8914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over49c13,809$6,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,766.218353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c13,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under51c12,950$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,378.2513448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c12,576$5,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over69c12,393$8,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,508.391070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c12,034$6,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,017.1621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c11,218$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,569.591,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over49c11,217$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.158835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c11,180$5,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,646.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c11,067$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.52,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…ac5abacked Over49c10,719$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,252.542227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c10,602$5,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.9421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under39c10,037$3,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.0414829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5004158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2007020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9927345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.927452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c9,668$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.31,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over39c9,281$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.4874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Over49c9,184$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Under51c8,554$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under50c8,400$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20011448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e13…2126backed Over43c8,075$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over46c8,059$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.021735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under51c7,947$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,894.065054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Over50c7,941$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Under50c7,655$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c7,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.9413746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over59c6,800$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c6,272$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.581,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under51c6,202$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.9610849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14b2…e055backed Under49c6,045$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6404568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5b…b940backed Over56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under51c5,997$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.5213857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under61c5,950$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.989233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under50c5,891$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.517754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Over52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over19c5,756$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.5685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over62c5,530$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.4611156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Under37c5,405$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c5,340$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.0536031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under39c5,227$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.672334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over50c5,169$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.518633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under51c5,002$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.4924144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.341723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.