TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under0c6,372$19 inLost-$19.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c3,079$832 inWon+$2,246.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c3,000$2,190 inLost-$2,189.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Under74c885.82$656 inLost-$655.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over29c786.9$228 inWon+$558.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c697$498 inLost-$498.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Under72c556.5$400 inLost-$40011674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over27c519$139 inWon+$380.123,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c310.48$81 inWon+$229.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over33c241.78$80 inWon+$161.789237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under73c210$152 inLost-$152.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Over27c144.7$39 inWon+$105.637945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over27c100$27 inWon+$731,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over27c100$27 inWon+$7328822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under66c98.99$65 inLost-$65.331,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c83.06$61 inLost-$60.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under69c74$51 inLost-$50.7132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over28c52.87$15 inWon+$38.211,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over30c50.42$15 inWon+$35.0936329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over33c40.77$14 inWon+$27.27037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over31c32.19$10 inWon+$22.199250%46 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a7…7eb0backed Under60c18.4$11 inLost-$11.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.