Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1d1245de1fadb653488ecc3eff22ace2536f9eaac076c190a1205f4d0fd926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 4,630$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 3,134$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 18c | 2,216$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,731$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 45c | 1,330$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…a83dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…09ffbacked Yes | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 30c | 642.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.05 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 552.77$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 61c | 510$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…7852backed No | 76c | 454.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 432.13$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 18c | 399.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…dd3dbacked Yes | 18c | 327.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…2d3ebacked Yes | 18c | 315.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 58c | 306.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 18c | 288.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 21c | 281$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 267$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 77c | 260.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes | 17c | 217.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 18c | 210.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 35c | 170.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…4747backed Yes | 17c | 170.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…ac0cbacked Yes | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…5e52backed Yes | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e8debacked No | 72c | 139.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…a6e6backed Yes | 18c | 137.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 17c | 128.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…cc0dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 105.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…bb92backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…68a1backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d3…464cbacked Yes | 16c | 63.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…7ad9backed Yes | 48c | 63.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 56c | 58.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes | 41c | 49.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 24c | 44.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 44.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…c2ddbacked No | 71c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…fb9dbacked Yes | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…703fbacked Yes | 51c | 31.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.