TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c19,622$9,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,604.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c17,778$7,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,123.263,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over59c8,544$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c8,451$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,866.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over57c8,333$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c8,293$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,830.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c7,373$4,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c7,129$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over56c5,334$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3635…1a4dbacked Over30c3,334$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c3,208$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.41,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under45c3,076$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.86929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c2,526$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c2,226$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under43c2,088$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.111,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c2,080$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.1429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c2,015$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9910335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under42c1,875$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Over55c1,788$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over59c1,694$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4610959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over60c1,668$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c1,473$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over58c1,439$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.4310734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6b…2ae8backed Under64c1,422$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under45c1,344$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.679334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c1,337$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.71,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598c…cc0bbacked Over58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x061a…475cbacked Over56c1,048$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c1,020$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over57c1,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Over49c939.74$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.3714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c933.86$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over26c887.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.821,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Over57c882$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.468142%34 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Over56c836.46$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.427648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under45c809.98$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over58c786.76$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.623171%22 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a0…2378backed Over59c775.27$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacd4…9e98backed Over59c644.07$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c640.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c608.44$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.232,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c608.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.262,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over58c607.94$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over58c600$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under43c574.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.621,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under41c549.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.981,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over55c539.98$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.996550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Over59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under41c499.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9846546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under41c487.19$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.941,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over55c449.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.496950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c443.42$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.192,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over57c431.03$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6910051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over37c415.75$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.831560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c399.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.411,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under43c392.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under43c392.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under70c355.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7317568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c353.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…1025backed Over57c350.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-52.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c350.77$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4315949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under73c333$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.451,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over57c311.76$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c300$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.671,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Over58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17112934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under42c297.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9913729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c273$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c272.92$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.12,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over56c268.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae9…26ccbacked Under64c257.81$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.814955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1544…b5f0backed Over58c257.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.281764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf52…d3c9backed Over57c251.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.514535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aab…2a65backed Over50c240.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c232$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.832,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Over31c229.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.194831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over53c227.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0e…7ee8backed Over55c223.75$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Under70c214.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9153436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10422846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…0613backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5068…13a1backed Under52c192.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c184.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8447744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c184.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.861,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over41c178.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7415050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.