Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1597ee2f9a73ad23a83c826edc39d209dc617347805971952eb04b857f590f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 6c | 17,553$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.38 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 7c | 9,505$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Under | 6c | 8,609$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 7c | 5,800$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 7c | 4,500$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 7c | 3,671$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 3,351$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 2,962$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 3c | 1,946$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 8c | 1,925$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 7c | 1,862$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…c66cbacked Under | 7c | 1,457$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 7c | 1,416$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…95a3backed Under | 8c | 1,284$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…0e4dbacked Under | 7c | 1,256$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 6c | 1,248$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 1c | 1,192$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…ecd5backed Under | 7c | 1,164$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 7c | 1,067$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…09febacked Under | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Under | 8c | 940$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…b409backed Under | 7c | 890.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 128 | 18%23 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…968bbacked Under | 8c | 862.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 7c | 859.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 7c | 820.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 6c | 800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 6c | 773.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 7c | 767.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 7c | 758.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Under | 7c | 717.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 6c | 698.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…3e23backed Under | 7c | 593.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…d6d6backed Under | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 7c | 496.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed Under | 8c | 449.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Under | 7c | 448.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 8c | 444.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 7c | 443.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Under | 8c | 385.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 356.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 6c | 345.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 6c | 309.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 306 | 42.8%131 W · 175 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 288.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked Under | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 7c | 227.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 6c | 199.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…c142backed Under | 7c | 196.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…1d44backed Under | 12c | 194$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…920fbacked Under | 6c | 176.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.