Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5cb9a94206dc77d3e4108cb11c7ad70cd4398e8501be0f961ca330157a53d80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 29c | 299,999$87,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,999.63 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 26c | 223,208$58,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,034.19 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 111,669$79,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,236.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 110,374$84,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,282.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 18c | 39,944$7,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,013.23 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 71c | 26,712$18,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.39 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 73c | 26,191$19,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.29 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 18,390$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec6…eda9backed Over | 28c | 16,071$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 12,255$8,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 11,668$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 62c | 10,074$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 72c | 10,000$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 9,990$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 40c | 9,966$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.52 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 26c | 8,103$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.72 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 71c | 7,905$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.89 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 71c | 7,905$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.89 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 72c | 7,578$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.37 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 7,021$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.39 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 28c | 6,326$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.12 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 13c | 5,737$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.91 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 5,734$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 5,600$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 28c | 5,283$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.12 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 76c | 4,907$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.77 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Over | 28c | 4,643$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…9469backed Over | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 23c | 3,480$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Over | 40c | 3,289$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 77c | 3,197$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.89 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 26c | 3,095$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.92 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 25c | 2,717$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.16 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 2,573$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.56 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 72c | 2,529$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.12 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -9.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 27c | 2,514$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 69c | 2,445$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.02 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 72c | 2,374$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.86 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…f3d0backed Under | 64c | 2,338$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 72c | 2,328$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 41c | 2,279$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.49 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 7c | 2,175$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over | 28c | 2,134$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.58 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 2,114$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 72c | 2,100$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 58c | 2,020$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.47 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Over | 28c | 1,956$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.65 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 1,785$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.68 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…06b5backed Under | 72c | 1,651$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 67c | 1,574$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 1,506$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…ac34backed Under | 66c | 1,470$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 29c | 1,437$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.85 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Under | 79c | 1,398$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 71c | 1,398$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…76e7backed Under | 69c | 1,348$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 21c | 1,344$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Over | 29c | 1,212$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 1,210$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 28c | 1,189$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…0392backed Under | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…e8d9backed Over | 23c | 1,100$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Over | 35c | 1,080$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 67c | 1,022$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Under | 78c | 1,007$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 170 | 30%51 W · 119 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 945.71$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 911.2$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 39c | 846.15$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 78c | 843.59$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.59 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 28c | 821.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 73c | 748.96$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 78c | 730$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Over | 28c | 723.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 704$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 704$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 22c | 699.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4832…026ebacked Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 73c | 676.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Over | 44c | 667$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.