TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,061,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$944,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over29c299,999$87,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,999.6317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over26c223,208$58,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,034.1974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c111,669$79,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,236.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c110,374$84,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,282.862,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over18c39,944$7,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,013.2349441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under71c26,712$18,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,746.3974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under73c26,191$19,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,087.2977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c18,390$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,403.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Over28c16,071$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c12,255$8,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under71c11,668$8,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under62c10,074$6,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,82913742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under72c10,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c9,990$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over40c9,966$3,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,974.524932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over26c8,103$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.7239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under71c7,905$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.8984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under71c7,905$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.8948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under72c7,578$5,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.371,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c7,021$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.391,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over28c6,326$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.121,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c5,737$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c5,734$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over27c5,600$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over28c5,283$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.128731%27 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under76c4,907$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over28c4,643$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over23c3,480$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.44238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Over40c3,289$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under77c3,197$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.891,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over26c3,095$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over25c2,717$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.1698134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c2,573$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.561,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under72c2,529$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.125740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over27c2,514$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.622,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57511156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under69c2,445$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.021,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over37c2,400$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8888254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c2,374$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.861,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1d…f3d0backed Under64c2,338$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.931866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under72c2,328$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.782835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over41c2,279$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.4961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c2,175$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5851514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over28c2,134$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.5818449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c2,114$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c2,100$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under58c2,020$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.4734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46025244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over28c1,956$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.6512538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c1,785$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Under72c1,651$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.210251%52 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under67c1,574$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.921,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under72c1,506$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…ac34backed Under66c1,470$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over29c1,437$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.851,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under79c1,398$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.726352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under71c1,398$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4871638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Under69c1,348$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.831442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over21c1,344$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Over29c1,212$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under74c1,210$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.272,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over28c1,189$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.842,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under71c1,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3195466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30814051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…e8d9backed Over23c1,100$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.82321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over35c1,080$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under67c1,022$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.521,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Under78c1,007$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over27c999.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9911946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c945.71$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c911.2$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.511,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over39c846.15$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under78c843.59$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over28c821.43$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under73c748.96$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.225834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under78c730$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over28c723.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.713339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Over28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Over28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.162,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.162,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over22c699.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4832…026ebacked Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under73c676.5$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7917568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6814568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over44c667$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.483644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.