TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,417 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c23,772$1,833 inLost-$1,833.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c3,166$147 inLost-$147.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over11c1,776$201 inLost-$200.534035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over8c937.12$77 inLost-$77.31,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over3c799.99$28 inLost-$27.946525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over8c478.67$38 inLost-$37.8416123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over5c467.64$22 inLost-$22.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c323.76$17 inLost-$17.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over10c322.5$31 inLost-$30.9347744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c300$24 inLost-$24.051,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over5c265.11$14 inLost-$14.220850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over5c200.05$10 inLost-$1026537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c60…27f8backed Over10c151.52$15 inLost-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…9491backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over12c100$12 inLost-$11.53030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Over11c90.91$10 inLost-$1035619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.