Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccb814b3be2cf6b35844c01372a8c7e95de617163dda139c7ff088b7051c7368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 2,117$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 59c | 1,606$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Over | 58c | 1,404$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.03 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 41c | 999.96$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 59c | 663.72$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Over | 57c | 577.28$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 479.59$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…74fcbacked Over | 59c | 454.24$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 452.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.32 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 409$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 344.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Over | 59c | 327.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 311.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Under | 42c | 249.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Over | 59c | 249.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 240.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…13a1backed Under | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 41c | 170.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 43c | 157.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 131.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Over | 56c | 129.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 122.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…6f0cbacked Under | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…2ddbbacked Over | 60c | 82.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Over | 59c | 81.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 41c | 81.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…e316backed Over | 59c | 79.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 58c | 71.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 42c | 46.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 41c | 44.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Over | 59c | 38.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Under | 42c | 38.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 41c | 36.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…b545backed Over | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Over | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…ac0ebacked Over | 57c | 34.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Over | 59c | 31.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 43c | 30.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…a71dbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…4817backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 41.1%106 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Over | 59c | 23.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…d31cbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.