Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147bb41f5eb2f6cfbb377bd4d72876b0df95e0a85ad52eff50241b90d0032f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Over | 3c | 3,707$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Over | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 2c | 2,529$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…020dbacked Over | 3c | 2,244$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 3c | 1,595$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Over | 2c | 1,397$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 12.4%18 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 2c | 1,133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…0b73backed Over | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 2c | 999.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 2c | 992.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 2c | 769.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Over | 3c | 691.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Over | 2c | 634.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Over | 3c | 610.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Over | 2c | 572.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 2c | 522.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…411bbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 4c | 303.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…ee6cbacked Over | 5c | 292.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.