Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59622385e39f80c95db2567273b4dbf894f335092177f3c770b0465c314ee6d1

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Egyptof Belgium, Egypt
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,504,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,513,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,504,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Egypt	65c	766,822$495,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271,699.99	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Belgium	36c	706,984$254,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254,514.35	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Belgium	39c	263,992$102,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,956.7	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Egypt	62c	208,245$129,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,265.83	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Belgium	37c	148,072$54,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,786.57	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Egypt	63c	140,000$87,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,399.89	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Belgium	38c	125,276$47,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,838.24	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Belgium	38c	113,722$43,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,077.12	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Egypt	63c	92,069$58,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,065.67	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Egypt	64c	80,693$51,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,049.48	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Belgium	38c	66,296$25,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,192.55	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-5.0wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Egypt	64c	50,977$32,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,365.73	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Egypt	64c	50,013$31,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,140.14	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Egypt	63c	50,000$31,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,700	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Egypt	63c	49,663$31,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,384.21	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Belgium	37c	40,776$15,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,087	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Belgium	37c	40,000$14,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,799.92	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Belgium	11c	33,352$3,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,615.12	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Egypt	64c	31,936$20,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,633.1	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Egypt	61c	28,025$17,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,929.88	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Belgium	36c	26,000$9,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,380	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Belgium	36c	25,754$9,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,294.31	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Belgium	37c	23,084$8,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,541.18	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Egypt	65c	22,799$14,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,009.84	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium	36c	21,480$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,776.63	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Belgium	9c	20,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.96	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Belgium	37c	18,514$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Belgium	38c	16,449$6,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,250.45	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Egypt	62c	13,801$8,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,244.2	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Belgium	39c	12,917$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Egypt	64c	11,070$7,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,985.2	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Belgium	4c	10,665$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Belgium	37c	10,300$3,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,811	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Egypt	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Belgium	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,799.99	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Egypt	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,699.97	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Egypt	62c	9,677$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,677.26	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Egypt	76c	9,333$7,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,222.33	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Egypt	62c	8,540$5,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,217.94	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Egypt	63c	7,937$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,936.51	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Egypt	64c	7,906$5,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,815.24	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Belgium	35c	7,746$2,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,726.86	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Egypt	63c	7,267$4,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,688.91	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Egypt	64c	7,003$4,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,510.37	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Egypt	63c	6,461$4,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,390.54	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Egypt	63c	6,000$3,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.99	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Egypt	63c	6,000$3,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,219.94	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Belgium	13c	5,956$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.94	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Egypt	64c	5,640$3,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.4	210	46.7%98 W · 112 L	+12.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab80…ba7ebacked Belgium	18c	5,597$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Belgium	38c	5,420$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.62	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Belgium	38c	5,263$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c1…d177backed Egypt	64c	5,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Egypt	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850	128	62.5%80 W · 48 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Belgium	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.99	23	13%3 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Egypt	63c	4,416$2,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.87	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…2411backed Egypt	63c	4,393$2,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Belgium	36c	4,276$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f79…a20dbacked Belgium	36c	4,167$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Belgium	11c	4,068$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.47	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belgium	10c	4,024$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.44	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Egypt	63c	4,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Egypt	63c	3,968$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,468.25	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Belgium	38c	3,875$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.59	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Belgium	34c	3,828$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.85	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Egypt	64c	3,746$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,343.12	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Belgium	37c	3,357$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Egypt	62c	3,300$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.99	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Egypt	62c	3,243$2,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.36	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Egypt	64c	3,124$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.64	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Belgium	37c	3,004$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.36	160	56.3%90 W · 70 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Belgium	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Belgium	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Egypt	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.97	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Egypt	64c	2,940$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.99	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Belgium	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed Belgium	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Belgium	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Belgium	33c	2,506$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.93	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Egypt	62c	2,500$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Egypt	64c	2,415$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.09	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Egypt	64c	2,411$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.16	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Belgium	17c	2,349$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.79	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Egypt	66c	2,139$1,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.28	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Egypt	77c	2,037$1,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.1	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Egypt	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Belgium	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Belgium	37c	2,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Belgium	11c	1,845$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.45	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Egypt	63c	1,842$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.22	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Egypt	63c	1,800$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Egypt	63c	1,753$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.77	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-9.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Belgium	35c	1,714$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	173	9.2%16 W · 157 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Egypt	63c	1,691$1,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.98	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Belgium	38c	1,634$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.02	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Belgium	37c	1,622$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Egypt	63c	1,622$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Egypt	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.3	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Egypt	63c	1,587$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.3	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Egypt	64c	1,563$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.5	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)this page
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Egypt won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event