TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x111a…12c3backed Over33c29,717$9,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,729.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c18,552$12,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.1874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c14,277$8,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under68c10,420$7,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.6464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c10,254$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over32c8,426$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c8,000$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c4,451$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.967358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c3,926$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.652,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c3,904$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over45c3,830$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under67c3,617$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.8415149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c3,589$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over58c2,838$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.621,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c2,619$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked Over45c2,439$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under61c2,359$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.1144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c2,292$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under67c2,148$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.833,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Under49c2,080$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Over32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6405630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over33c1,879$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under57c1,788$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.0736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over50c1,777$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.5424917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under76c1,701$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under67c1,472$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.873,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over32c1,421$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7210432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under68c1,419$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.15360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over3c1,020$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over32c884.38$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under77c866.79$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0b…09ffbacked Over53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under69c738.74$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1325049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over23c649.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.57027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Over13c625$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807439.2%29 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…e8d9backed Over33c600$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under61c598.38$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0194…e3c5backed Over3c571.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over52c570$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.46536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over38c518.47$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under63c507.27$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.676241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under68c502.5$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.131,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over59c450$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1919838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c423.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.462,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cd…896abacked Over33c418.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over71c342.93$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4819039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under67c332$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.562,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under61c324.48$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8948152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over33c313.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under62c307.48$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over32c302.88$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1864…6914backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over32c296.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under57c295.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over33c294.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.752937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Under78c280.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.814744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over41c279.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over32c260.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.58831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over33c258.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.541,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over45c244.46$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4712343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over32c225$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over52c221.39$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6970750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over37c208.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608934.8%31 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6628822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9425…0b83backed Under70c193.63$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.133053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Under59c169.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.627435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under67c159.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under72c159.77$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over54c156.2$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3530148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over33c151.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9315650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Over37c147.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.631838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under45c145.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.532740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under69c145.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4114659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under44c143.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1829639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c142$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.653,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.49957.6%57 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.