TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa902…d159

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.98
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$74.72
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$62.81
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,151.84
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,320.13
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Poland vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$2,123.7
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Luxembourg vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.11
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,079
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$2,393.35
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$120.63
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$481.5
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,637.5
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Abacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004.29
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$425.76
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+59%+$346.11
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$511.07
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.19
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked against All authority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$260.76
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$92.3
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$49.49
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$34.4
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.