Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585820fe0c26b4296e98ea957d18fd702c30143813eb01b7366e5a6360cd8b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 69c | 5,121$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.51 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 4,043$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.23 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,946$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.97 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,631$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.59 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 55c | 1,082$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 46c | 847.53$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 31c | 611.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 450.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 49c | 441.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Under | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 32c | 401.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 62c | 383.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 48c | 380.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 374.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 49c | 304.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 54c | 189.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 178.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 177.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…de56backed Over | 64c | 153.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 116$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 49c | 102.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 37c | 96.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 69c | 86.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 58c | 85.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 80.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 54c | 79.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 56c | 79.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 74.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 58.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 50c | 54.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 48.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Over | 33c | 42.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 72c | 41.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 43c | 30.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 63c | 28.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 61c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…a8f7backed Over | 54c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.