Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x790badfa12b96dc580ca39d21a0686eaa6d75c74f7495693d12d473113269aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,341$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.11 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 42c | 1,046$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.17 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 37c | 999.95$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.92 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 36c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 61c | 300.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 26c | 299.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 270.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 60c | 163.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 158.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 73c | 80.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 75.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 40c | 71.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 76c | 62.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 42c | 60.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 53.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 49.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 64c | 42.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Under | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 21.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.