Other European Leagues · resolved market
Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1feef3682d1d6de5b9f1137d850cbeef58cec19142ac667289a0246e4ada4f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 15c | 14,265$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,125.53 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 8,748$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 7,769$4,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 59c | 4,531$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.59 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 1,672$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.6 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 38c | 1,301$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.85 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,200$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.36 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 75c | 471.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 304.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 58c | 300.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 295.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 31c | 281.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 268.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 199.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 64c | 153.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 27c | 90.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 33c | 89.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 27c | 84.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 22c | 74.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 54.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Under | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 62c | 40.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Over | 63c | 37.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 4.5this page
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: AIK (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)AIK won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.