TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c4,093$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,952$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c1,589$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.322,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under42c1,393$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.7312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over64c1,264$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.7231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under22c1,205$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over79c1,170$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.1622656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under31c1,132$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.381,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c1,080$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.362,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over62c768.81$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under77c685.42$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over64c617.85$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over77c602.75$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3141857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under23c598.92$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1711654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c596.9$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.571,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over55c545.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.243246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under27c541.3$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.52,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under23c499.53$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.647828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under29c484.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under30c480.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under23c473.62$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7218435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over78c472.8$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.342,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Over77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under21c368.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over80c352$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.69456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over66c301.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over77c236.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.473,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under22c235.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over76c222$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.722744.4%12 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Under23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.392119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over38c212.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under24c202.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.121251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.131156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8823440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15831553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over69c200$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under22c187.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.973,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over74c183.47$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.771553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9125727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under31c164.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c159.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Over67c151.73$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.513268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c145.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under21c133.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.631,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Over64c132.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8529463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over45c131.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick31cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over80c125.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.685540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over45c124.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over33c122$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.265719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over59c115.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4323940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over43c113.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c113.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c110.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over69c103.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.525660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over74c101.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9610068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.117217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over46c89.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over26c86.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.657447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x605d…1d82backed Under35c86.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over46c79.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c69.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.151,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Under37c67.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.743852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over45c65.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over78c64.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under23c59.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over45c50.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over46c49.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.685042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Over74c47.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.196251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c47.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203727%10 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over68c39.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9411364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb259…56c7backed Over77c36.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281330.8%4 W · 9 L-5.3wins-0.41per pick72cpaid-57.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over60c36.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6918764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed Over42c34.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under46c33.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258467.9%57 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c32.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.414260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under56c26.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7830642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c26.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over74c25.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.26355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39e7…8a6ebacked Over76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over57c18.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.