TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x018a…5e65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8467.9%57 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.93
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$6.95
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.14
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.65
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.28
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.96
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.58
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.36
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT7749.4%38 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.14
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$22.79
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeevabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Jointbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmanebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.8
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$6.64
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jan Choinski vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.92
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Hannah Klugman vs Tereza Valentovabacked Hannah Klugman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.45
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.57
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$49.39
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43%+$20.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$20.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$15.77
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.91
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.85
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.22
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Will Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.86
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$15.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.