TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,334,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,295,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,334,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f1…4c7abacked Yes35c300,000$104,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,287.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes30c75,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,499.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes35c60,258$21,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,1742560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No66c57,978$37,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,979.995632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes57c52,967$30,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,735.3652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No70c51,679$36,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,175.095846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No71c51,250$36,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,2203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No69c50,251$34,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,673.165135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No68c48,260$32,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,780.851643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No65c47,002$30,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,544.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No41c45,634$18,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,878.787554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes35c37,525$13,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,391.4211246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c36,206$17,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,549.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No68c34,190$23,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,402.525639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c32,265$20,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,824.3715947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c28,279$8,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,915.271,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes30c27,283$8,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,097.811963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c24,366$7,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,880.813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c22,907$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.9184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c18,230$8,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.382,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked No72c15,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked No71c14,158$10,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,102475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c13,746$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,234.1314740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes28c13,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.971533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No47c12,249$5,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,725.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No34c11,799$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.311520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c9,987$7,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.9279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No67c9,876$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,655.69054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No48c8,199$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.1927939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No68c8,125$5,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5251650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No66c7,575$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No34c7,161$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.374141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No69c7,154$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No65c7,125$4,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.255947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No69c6,150$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes30c6,061$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.423234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No65c5,900$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8351650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No64c5,763$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,688.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No15c5,541$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.483852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes30c5,414$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…62b4backed No10c5,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.933151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No66c4,944$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes29c4,828$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.594100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+159.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Yes29c4,483$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+170.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes34c4,299$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8804639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c4,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.856858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked No50c3,975$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c3,700$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.5433349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No65c3,672$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No1c3,287$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.178316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No71c3,105$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.551650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes36c2,675$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.753046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No2c2,625$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.644418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No65c2,555$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.754551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes32c2,520$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.773956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No46c2,428$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.993256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c2,372$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.6325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes59c2,304$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.6613040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No45c2,282$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No9c2,089$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No65c2,086$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.95054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,050$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.526022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes53c1,874$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c1,872$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No65c1,689$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.851957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a2…c5fcbacked No65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+64%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No66c1,476$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9745343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…1cb6backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c1,420$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.5191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No71c1,316$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No42c1,294$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c1,292$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No19c1,220$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5517941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4a…2881backed No65c1,169$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No66c1,074$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes30c1,065$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.91957.9%11 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes40c1,001$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.356119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes75c998.04$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes50c982$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.662425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Yes68c967.69$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No65c965$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.254955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Yes29c944.83$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.83425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes62c846$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4810539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked No72c796.61$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.561758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No17c765.69$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7612345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c754$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.358240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes35c735.29$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.585234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.