TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick6cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c15,059$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,425.4492050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No70c13,047$9,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c9,615$7,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.8384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes30c9,439$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.615947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes29c8,010$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.091540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No69c6,767$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes8c6,349$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.913839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes30c6,061$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.183234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No70c5,025$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No70c4,950$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735b…acb1backed No72c4,004$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb952…3561backed Yes28c3,995$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c3,860$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.881,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,782$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No70c3,347$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes32c2,680$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.5252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…20f7backed No68c2,425$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3808…b5b8backed No72c2,202$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…f2c5backed Yes28c2,199$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,985$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Yes4c1,700$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.992540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes15c1,491$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.899954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,301$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.0225157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes1c1,261$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes28c1,214$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes29c1,186$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes8c1,009$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7510034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27033349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes26c899.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200130%0 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Yes14c739.81$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e6…dd8abacked Yes4c464.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Yes7c429$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c389.96$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c360.28$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.88850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No70c358.14$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.441978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb939…81b8backed Yes28c351.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No80c348.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes10c340$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.24940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b9…7575backed Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No69c280$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed No71c248.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No72c247$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6614740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes30c224.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3615949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes30c219.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.228949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No70c216.67$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153040%12 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c134.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.322,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes11c122.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9d…084bbacked Yes29c120.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes31c118.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c118$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.598240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4461…d919backed Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes31c105.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.854537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…330abacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…033bbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4238…3233backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes30c80.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x531a…8681backed Yes29c79.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x260f…dfffbacked Yes27c73.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4313046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…273bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked No70c67.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Yes31c66.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55066%33 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed No72c62.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37e…2988backed Yes29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes29c60.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No69c59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.252986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No72c56.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8610055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5182…1774backed Yes31c55.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c53.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa556…e483backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2512849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.