TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb22a…8e6c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.89
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$760
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,649Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+99.6%+$2,638.92
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$981.06
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$100.25
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+220.9%+$413
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$298.59
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$213.62
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+159.2%+$980.75
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,040
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+556.9%+$423.22
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$782
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$246
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$142.5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$322.27
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,470.48
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,653Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+354.5%+$5,860.64
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$980
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$242.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+614.3%+$301
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$580.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$496
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$981.92
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+354.5%+$390
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+212.3%+$991.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$102.85
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,100.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$314
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$31.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+87%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$739.04
Will Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87.66
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$126
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$997.33
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,980
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$266
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,988.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$664.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,442.95
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,406.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$428.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$812
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$440
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,780
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$70.13
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$548.32
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+400%+$264
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+85.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$286
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$97.76
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$790.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.4%+$306.23
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$381
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$392
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.