TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$326,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c30,286$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.591,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes21c19,731$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.612339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No80c14,527$11,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.487147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No80c13,756$11,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.252281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c13,613$10,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.151,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c9,332$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.692,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes21c7,503$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.735246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed No80c7,089$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No79c6,700$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.9525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No79c5,328$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.839856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c5,077$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes0c4,620$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes21c4,524$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No79c3,593$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.4716848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes20c3,246$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.34166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes4c3,222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c3,204$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.651,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes20c2,701$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c2,654$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.031,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c2,550$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes21c2,470$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.753134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes7c2,371$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No80c2,308$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6210341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb713…9126backed Yes18c1,994$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c1,800$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.5652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes21c1,637$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes2c1,500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes19c1,478$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes12c1,400$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1737131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes16c1,310$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.718226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes17c1,195$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f7…4bf0backed Yes21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes21c1,171$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2465050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c1,070$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes20c1,025$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+59.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes21c1,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43df…fdb0backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e48…9c5fbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No80c953.52$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.74369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c850$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No79c847.03$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.883873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16053828.3%152 W · 386 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c799$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes21c785.71$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No80c741$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.220246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c701$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes21c608.58$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.83630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes17c601.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes10c591.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…e7b4backed Yes2c564.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c8…e891backed Yes18c563.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.781241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+297%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644e…510fbacked Yes21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No79c499.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes3c482.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes5c436.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes14c408$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.291,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c380$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes16c370$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.26743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes12c356.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6858446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes21c354$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.343839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes20c346$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes21c323.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked No80c315.9$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+93.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No80c309$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.810246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…40b6backed Yes5c308.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5bb…51c5backed Yes5c302.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No80c300$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes11c293$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.467227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes18c278.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.210036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes19c244.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes21c236.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.724650%23 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes22c219.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47a…7418backed Yes21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes18c212.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2316136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes19c209.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9721049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f1…8dddbacked Yes21c209.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c202.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416327%17 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.