TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd0f…5aab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$60.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+1,037.1%+$155.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+488.2%+$146.47
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+2,400%+$480
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 70°F or higher on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$67.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+1,150%+$184
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$64.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+400%+$79.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+900%+$90
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 23°F or below on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+2,281%+$479
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+164.5%+$32.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.