Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c047808ad884823f6d5a7e28cc043a34d1e89139ab752e6498b21421e01e7e0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,893,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,206,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	8c	44,229$3,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,405.56	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	7c	34,310$2,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,531.07	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	31,599$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,058.67	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	1c	24,000$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	22,444$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.81	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	0c	20,995$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	20,602$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.01	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	20,160$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.31	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	5c	19,919$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.29	112	8%9 W · 103 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-80%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	13c	19,243$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,474.7	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	16,606$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.87	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d16…78f5backed Yes	5c	14,772$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	6c	13,639$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.45	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	7c	10,470$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.3	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde58…0a9dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	9,404$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	6c	9,382$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	2c	8,947$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.43	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d3c…5467backed Yes	7c	8,817$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.69	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No	79c	8,332$6,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785.01	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa526…ee0dbacked Yes	8c	8,038$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.11	46	13%6 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	8,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	8,000$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	6c	7,860$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.21	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	24c	7,673$1,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,807.87	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	7,477$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.1	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	7,198$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.7	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	6c	6,873$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.81	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	11c	6,856$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.96	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…cbf4backed Yes	8c	6,456$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.52	120	9.2%11 W · 109 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	6,341$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.72	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Yes	1c	6,221$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Yes	6c	6,005$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.46	61	6.6%4 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	6c	5,934$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.61	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b7…8fccbacked Yes	15c	5,838$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	5,576$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aea…8951backed Yes	4c	5,503$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.21	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	34c	5,500$1,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.87	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	24c	5,384$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.99	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	8c	5,128$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.66	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…51afbacked Yes	7c	5,003$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	5,000$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	4,947$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.84	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	8c	4,918$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.72	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	11c	4,895$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.71	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	6c	4,877$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.88	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,845$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.22	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	4,655$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.49	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c2…db4cbacked Yes	2c	4,613$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.6	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	4,608$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.58	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	4,564$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.5	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	3c	4,562$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.76	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4aa…2ea8backed Yes	37c	4,483$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43a…5912backed Yes	7c	4,397$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	1c	4,347$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.32	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	9c	4,304$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.12	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	4,188$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.46	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…1ccbbacked Yes	23c	4,072$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.58	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fae…6a71backed Yes	10c	4,044$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	6c	4,043$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.48	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	4,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	4c	3,872$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.66	259	5.4%14 W · 245 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c7…3976backed Yes	5c	3,838$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.58	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	6c	3,815$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.91	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	3,791$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.9	211	4.7%10 W · 201 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes	8c	3,753$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e24…67d0backed Yes	3c	3,747$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7463…befbbacked Yes	14c	3,735$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.33	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+97.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	76c	3,714$2,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.31	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes	24c	3,556$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.46	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f0…089dbacked Yes	1c	3,479$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,367$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…ca6dbacked Yes	9c	3,365$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.24	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x458d…7fdfbacked Yes	32c	3,307$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,070.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	76c	3,304$2,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.16	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	6c	3,303$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.91	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c5…95c4backed Yes	18c	3,295$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.72	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	3c	3,265$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.98	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	9c	3,151$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.96	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	6c	3,123$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.66	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes	29c	3,057$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	15c	3,047$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.71	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	2c	3,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0446…4c79backed Yes	7c	3,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x875d…acf2backed Yes	5c	3,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.67	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	37c	2,914$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.68	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…415bbacked Yes	6c	2,865$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.48	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…92d8backed Yes	7c	2,860$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.33	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Yes	35c	2,857$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	10c	2,855$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.88	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd669…f5e7backed Yes	5c	2,851$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.64	135	6.7%9 W · 126 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	4c	2,812$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.04	68	2.9%2 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb28…2160backed Yes	10c	2,770$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.81	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	80c	2,755$2,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.32	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	1c	2,700$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…d421backed Yes	2c	2,673$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.76	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a66…baa9backed Yes	7c	2,667$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.83	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	9c	2,651$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.99	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	2c	2,600$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.46	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event