TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fb8…d906

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
820
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 68 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 68 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT23464.5%151 W · 83 L+23.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 234 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.55
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$180.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$226.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.7
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$476
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+199.7%+$464.49
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$76.75
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$4,300.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,703.03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$2,087.13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$74.6
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$101.6
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$7.92
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$1,292.71
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,667.68
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$161.22
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$1,236.29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,177.08
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$171.17
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+204.9%+$105.37
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+162.5%+$185.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+48.9%+$1,164.91
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,276.56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$173.99
Showing 25 of 234 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT12345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$785
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$43.46
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$736.87
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.18
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$5,210.1
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$6,100.28
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,234.06
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+82%+$1,811.1
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.41
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16,193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$7,213.28
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,969.04
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$107.45
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$129.5
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$478
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,562.42
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.5%+$4,716.96
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,192.7
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+36.3%+$253
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,222.4
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+209.3%+$812
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT7252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$9,571.82
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$8,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,958
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.57
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.65
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$255
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$958.12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,155.41
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.6%+$177.71
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+253.9%+$193.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,398.75
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,505Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+39.5%+$2,966.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.7%+$74.16
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+62.4%+$164.23
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,274.15
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+65.4%+$653.5
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+108.4%+$244.44
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$156.53
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.7%+$570.49
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$112.04
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$200
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.5
Will "The Official Release Party of a Showgirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 43m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" gross less than 125% of "The Senior"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST6663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+149.4%+$44.63
Will Julie Menin be the next Speaker of the New York City Council?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.3
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+169.1%+$1,377.47
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$3,424.05
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37.8%+$80.77
Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$544.64
Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,283.06
Will the government shutdown end November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25.5%+$8.1
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19,807.22
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+216.1%+$9,659.82
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+43%+$101.65
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$150
Will fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+150.6%+$180.3
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$2,108.92
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+121%+$295.14
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0 and 44.4 on October 17 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5 on October 17 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.7
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$658
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$582.03
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$786.62
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$69.99
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT4963.3%31 W · 18 L+11.8wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+96.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
Weather — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in June 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+35%+$12.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+683.2%+$200.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69–70°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67–68°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or below on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+594.3%+$184.04
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75–76°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+144.3%+$200.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65–66°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67–68°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$30.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70–71°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$18.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76–77°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62–63°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60–61°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+1,152%+$136.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73–74°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.54
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63–64°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$90.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71–72°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+307.8%+$58.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69–70°F on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.98
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$16.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62–63°F on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$76.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.86
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$1,924.49
Will David Oxman be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.83
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.05
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$1,313.8
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,996.19
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.93
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$927.55
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+197.6%+$132.8
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28–29%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$246.47
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.29
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.7%+$55.8
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$55.67
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.64
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,056Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+89.6%+$4,527.74
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$230.13
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+36.4%+$40.75
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$377.66
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$25.22
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$106.72
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.3%+$937.51
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$8,719.64
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.09
Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$112
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$1,379.08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.32
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.71
Will Iran strike six countries in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+90.8%+$29.17
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$608.14
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+136.4%+$20.87
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+34.2%+$60.93
Will the US strike Cuba next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28%+$9.67
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+30.5%+$5.85
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$251.67
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.8%+$158.92
Will the US strike Mexico next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.5%+$73.62
Will the US strike Cuba next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.4%+$16.33
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+516.4%+$754
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$85
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Next US strike on Syria on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,198.99
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,913Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$4,607.35
Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.82
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,289Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$860.54
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.66
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$115.47
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.5
Will Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+45.1%+$11.41
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.6%+$4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+170.3%+$189
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$29.35
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$79.45
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$81.76
Will Pedro Pascal be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+43.1%+$20.92
Will the Gaza–Israel conflict be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+48.1%+$65
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$144
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$20.66
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$114.25
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+270.4%+$58.7
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35.81
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,474.65
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.6
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.6%+$36.3
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+77.3%+$109
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+43.1%+$34.54
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+203%+$167.5
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.91
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$447.23
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+50.7%+$338.68
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,116.12
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$585.31
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+27.9%+$196.95
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3750000 and 4000000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$579.59
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$7.26
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+42%+$138.8
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$276.1
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$945.88
Will China win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+184.1%+$64.8
Will Kyrgyzstan win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$48.8
Will Kazakhstan win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$23.02
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$109.95
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 10-15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,096.15
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$164.36
Will Jamal Roberts win American Idol season 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.9
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+187.5%+$45.21
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$55.05
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.83
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$61.99
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.25B and $4.50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$6.86
Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be less than $1.9B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Rank One Computing Corp's market cap be between $105M and $135M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$113.5
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$460.45
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $750M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.24
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$180.72
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $450M and $500M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $500M and $550M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.9%+$27.5
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+74.3%+$68.19
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.1
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be greater than $850M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+171.1%+$174.35
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.8%+$12.9
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$108
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41.1%+$471.32
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.29
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.6%+$28.9
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,079Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.9%+$2,622.28
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,510.89
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,305.77
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.8%+$1,124.78
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$319.39
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.3%+$2,507.21
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.7%+$362.03
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$261.5
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.9%+$1,569.24
Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Dallas Cowboys all win on Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+354.5%+$71.39
Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$119.96
Will the Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers, and Kansas City Chiefs all win on Thanksgiving?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$36.08
Will Aaron Rodgers retire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.1%+$22.51
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.35
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$151.02
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$464.59
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+276.6%+$162.61
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.86
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$145.9
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+35%+$45.59
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.77
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+164.5%+$877.47
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$254
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+55.7%+$1,579.3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500.97
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$191.41
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.8%+$176.06
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.3%+$289.28
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$54.75
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.7%+$4,192.69
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.5
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,776
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,656.95
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29%+$292
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.2
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.7%+$2,156.93
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,351.97
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,357Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+207.1%+$11,096.42
Lighter Airdrop on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+48.5%+$76.7
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,962Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.8%+$1,890.26
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+27.9%+$7.13
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.6%+$44.96
Lighter Airdrop on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$14.1
Lighter Airdrop on December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+30.5%+$140.4
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,451.95
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40%+$457.5
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,934Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.2%+$564.27
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$24.92
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,858.47 and 6,927.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$164 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $40-$42 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480-$490 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $490-$500 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Will Meta (META) close at >$630 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$544
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$428.4
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at <$42 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+149.1%+$239.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+57.4%+$364.6
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,286.7
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$164.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.7%+$516.6
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.4%+$82.88
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.36
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.44
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+36%+$40.52
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,415.3
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$75.14
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$78.09
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+44.6%+$78.99
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38.75
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$21.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.