Music · resolved market
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5530784023a1218c416fd815c4f7209abd927dd504b6380d94cfc2146e2bb51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cc8…8d7bbacked No | 1c | 10,622$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 10c | 3,365$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 3c | 3,181$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,087$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 2c | 2,881$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 3c | 1,875$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab2…cba6backed No | 1c | 1,740$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 2c | 1,427$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 1c | 1,410$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 4c | 1,327$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed No | 2c | 1,112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…e0aebacked No | 2c | 1,010$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…e72bbacked No | 2c | 893.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…9692backed No | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 7c | 768.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 750$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 3c | 701.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 2c | 699.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 16c | 552.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 3c | 505.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…876cbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…73cebacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed No | 8c | 460$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 5c | 439.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 428.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…141bbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…ec50backed No | 5c | 290.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…3028backed No | 5c | 215.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?this page
- Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will Drake be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
- Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.