TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad4a…ddb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
299
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST4065%26 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30.13
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$14.4
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$14.4
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+30.4%+$14
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+32.7%+$14.8
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+32.2%+$14.6
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+32.5%+$9.8
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+32.7%+$14.8
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.64
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30.27
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37.9%+$5.5
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$5.94
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$6.7
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo join a new team this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.68
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+142.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$271.74
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$3,895.98
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,328.86
Will another person win the South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.17
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$956.49
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.4
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.15
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.43
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+247.5%+$1,531.31
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$996.91
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.97
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.05
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.12
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.1
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.05
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+2,115.8%+$1,445.07
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$583.26
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$256.71
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$339.24
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,025.37
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.67
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.8%+$6.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+50%+$5.29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.9%+$13.84
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+68.5%+$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+125.5%+$14.61
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 16-17°F on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.6%+$7.58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+32.9%+$7.49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+68.9%+$7.27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.5%+$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.8%+$9.35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 46°F or higher on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+71.2%+$16.42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on January 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47%+$14.69
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+37.9%+$5.5
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.4
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.43
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+158.3%+$40.79
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$59.08
Which conference wins NHL Stanley Cup?backed West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$386
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+37%+$383.94
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.16
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.6
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$22.3
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$520.15
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$34.3
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38.8
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$30.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70.76
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.02
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$66.48
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.63
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+36%+$5.06
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+43.7%+$7.1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$573.84
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+173%+$613
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$535.01
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+137.1%+$1,055.23
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$178.17
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.92
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+314.8%+$709.55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.88
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.05
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.6%+$16.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.02
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+27.7%+$6.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+27.5%+$12.95
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.9%+$20.57
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25.5%+$6.55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.96
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29%+$4.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.22
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,197.15
Will a club from Spain win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$142.4
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.64
Will a club from Brazil win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.26
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Juventus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$597.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$83.76
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.4%+$80.64
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$194.35
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+128.8%+$169.75
Will Red Bull finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+96.6%+$17.2
F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.79
Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.41
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.9
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: McLaren vs. Mercedesbacked McLaren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$29.76
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: McLaren vs. Ferraribacked McLaren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$191.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.43
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.09
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.09
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $70m and $75m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5-6m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$230.66
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.5
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,851.26
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.42
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+451.2%+$339.71
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.59
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$262.55
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-67.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,098.68
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$62.48
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$539.2
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.61
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$26.4
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.46
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$484.27
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$311.37
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+58.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-61%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+187.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+151.5%+$72.81
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$63.55
Will G2 win the PGL Bucharest Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$398.88
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.8%+$17.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Fritz win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$179.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$297.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.