Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a792a34405ffbef07c7ed2723cb6770854a1f77c70f5c58df4d830095d5abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 44c | 25,984$11,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,552.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 19,933$11,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,161.42 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 44c | 2,999$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.02 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 2,242$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.01 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 1,923$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 23c | 1,396$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.06 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 1,042$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 56c | 1,003$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.86 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 16c | 606.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed No | 28c | 550.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 38c | 498.11$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 379.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 44c | 371.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 13c | 299.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 72c | 284$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 30c | 210.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 209.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 56c | 177.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 127.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 57c | 88.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed No | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 56c | 69.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 56c | 49.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 55c | 49.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 47.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 56c | 41.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…7b9abacked No | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 56c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked No | 56c | 26.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 55c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Yes | 45c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.