TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5de1…35f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+76%+$9.55
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.75
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.42
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.64
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.18
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$52.81
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+86.2%+$10.87
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.23
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.24
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.02
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.57
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+139%+$27.8
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$77.72
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.84
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+113.4%+$12.68
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$27.84
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$17.19
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+84.9%+$9.55
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.25
Kings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.4%+$12.53
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.4%+$13.74
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.26
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.44
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.14
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.25
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.7%+$51.03
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.46
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$103.48
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$21.19
Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.2
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$13.91
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+67.1%+$7.47
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.23
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.66
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+79%+$32.19
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+27.5%+$9.1
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.12
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.9%+$21.11
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.6%+$7.63
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$11.2
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.31
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$646.18
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$32.89
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.92
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$28.38
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.34
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+162.2%+$25.73
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$25.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+82.3%+$20.68
Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.